This is demonstrated by the latest wave of the “Ukraine’s Investment Attractiveness Index”survey, conducted by the European Business Association in partnership with NEQSOL Holding.
The integral score of the Index slightly improved in 2024, reaching 2.49 out of 5 (compared to 2.44 in 2023). This overall rating is similar to the investment climate assessment during the “COVID year” of 2020.
The percentage of business leaders considering Ukraine’s investment climate as unfavourable has decreased from 84% last year to the current 79%, with 20% describing it as extremely unfavourable. Notably, this share has consistently decreased from 53% in 2022 to the current 20%. A neutral stance on the current investment climate was taken by 12% of top executives (up from 7% last year), while 9% view it favourably.
Perceptions of the investment climate dynamics remain unchanged from last year. Almost half of the respondents (49%) believe that the investment climate has worsened, 39% see no significant changes, and 12% think it has improved.
The proportion of companies already operating in the market and planning to continue investing, despite the war, increased from 57% last year to 70% currently. Meanwhile, only 17% believe it would be beneficial for new investors to enter Ukraine (down from 32% in 2023 and 17% in the second half of 2022).
Looking ahead to the next six months, 49% of CEOs expect further deterioration in Ukraine’s investment climate, 33% expect no changes, and 18% hope for improvement. The outlook within their own sectors is similar: 44% expect a decline, 43% anticipate stability, and 13% foresee improvements.
Russian military aggression remains the top negative factor affecting the investment climate, followed by corruption, a weak judicial system, the shadow economy, and attacks on Ukraine’s energy system. Additionally, 81% of companies surveyed view currency restrictions as a negative factor impacting Ukraine’s investment appeal.
This year, business leaders cite Ukraine’s EU candidate status, tariff and quota elimination for Ukrainian exports, the “transport visa-free regime” with the EU, digitalisation of public services, and integration into the unified European electricity system as positive factors.
Slightly more than half, or 54%, of companies reported losses due to hostilities. Among these, 25% have already approached law enforcement agencies, while another 11% plan to do so. Additionally, 3% have sought recourse through national and international courts.
Anna Derevyanko GB4U Co-Founder and the EBA Executive Director
Despite the challenging business environment, investment climate assessments indicate a slight improvement, reflecting companies′ adaptation. Notably, the shadow economy emerged as a significant negative factor this year, highlighting an intensified call for action against the shadow sector amid rising taxes for legitimate businesses. EU candidate status remains a crucial positive factor for the third consecutive year, and as an ЕВА, we will continue focusing on European integration activities, including work on shaping Ukraine′s strong negotiating positions.
Volodymyr Lavrenchuk Country Manager of NEQSOL Holding Ukraine
Despite the challenging situation, investment opportunities in Ukraine remain. This is evidenced by the recent decision of the NEQSOL HOLDING international group to become a strategic investor in one of the world’s largest titanium raw materials producers, UMCC. 70% of EBA member companies participating in this year′s survey also plan investments in Ukraine. I believe that the Ukrainian market′s investment potential will be realised primarily by investors who understand the local market, possess management experience in wartime conditions, and maintain well-developed business partnerships internationally. Implementing compliance and ESG practices will ensure the sustainability of such investments as Ukraine integrates into the EU.
HOW WE MEASURE THE INDEX
The European Business Association has been conducting the “Ukraine’s Investment Attractiveness Index” survey since 2008. Over its history, the Index has never reached the positive zone (above 4 points). In the current survey wave, 80 CEOs of the largest international and Ukrainian companies participated. Of these, 39% represent medium-sized businesses, 38% large businesses, and 23% small businesses. The main partner of the survey in 2024 is NEQSOL Holding.
NEQSOL HOLDING is an International Group of Companies employing more than 12 thousand people in 11 countries (including US, UK, Azerbaijan, Ukraine, Netherlands, Georgia and Turkey). NEQSOL Holding has 3 head offices located in Amsterdam (Netherlands), Baku (Azerbaijan) and Kyiv (Ukraine) to manage its businesses in telecommunications, energy, construction and hi-tech industries. NEQSOL HOLDING group providing services to over 25 million customers across the globe.
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